Eskilstuna Smederna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 21, 2013 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Andreas Jonsson3 2 1 17
- 2Magnus Zetterström2 0 1 14+3
- 3Grigorij Laguta3 3 1 2 312
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 3 2 19+1
- 5Peter Karlsson3 1 R R4
- 6Oliver Berntzon1 1 0 02
- 7Kenni Larsen0 3 3 39
- 1Patryk Dudek1 1 2 3 3 010
- 2Dennis AnderssonFX0
- 3Fredrik Lindgren2 0 2 3 3 212+1
- 4Simon Gustafsson0 1 1 02+1
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 0 0 27+1
- 6Patrick Hougaard3 2 2 18+1
- 7Mikkel Michelsen2 0 0 24+1
Heat by heat
- Andreas Jonsson · SME3
- Magnus Zetterström · SME2*
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1
- Dennis Andersson · DACFX
- Patrick Hougaard · DAC3
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC2*
- Oliver Berntzon · SME1
- Kenni Larsen · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC0
- Peter Karlsson · SME3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Oliver Berntzon · SME1
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC0
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Patrick Hougaard · DAC2
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC1*
- Magnus Zetterström · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME2*
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Andreas Jonsson · SME2
- Magnus Zetterström · SME1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Grigorij Laguta · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2*
- Peter Karlsson · SME1
- Oliver Berntzon · SME0
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Patrick Hougaard · DAC2
- Andreas Jonsson · SME1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Kenni Larsen · SME3
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC2
- Patrick Hougaard · DAC1*
- Oliver Berntzon · SME0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME2
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC1
- Peter Karlsson · SMER
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Grigorij Laguta · SME2
- Magnus Zetterström · SME1*
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2*
- Andreas Jonsson · SME1
- Peter Karlsson · SMER
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Rain → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14–18 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h NE
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 4 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 85 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| SME | DAC | SME | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +10 | 98 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenni Larsen | 4 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Patrick Hougaard | 4 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 9.7 | 12 | +2.3 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 4 | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 4 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Dennis Andersson | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Simon Gustafsson | 4 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Peter Karlsson | 4 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.