Vargarna Speedway vs Västervik Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 14, 2013 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping

Results

VAR 44 : 45 VAS

VAR

1Tomasz Gapiński3 F 3 06
2Kim Nilsson2 3 1 06+1
3Peter Kildemand3 1 3 2 211
4Grzegorz ZengotaFX 0 1 01
5Adrian Miedziński3 3 2 3 011
6Anders Mellgren2 1 1 26
7Pontus Aspgren0 2 0 13+2

VAS

1Chris Harris0 2 2 1 3 19+1
3Peter Ljung1 2 3 3 1 313+1
4Tomasz JędrzejakFX 0 00
5Hans Andersen2 3 R 1 28+1
6Ludvig Lindgren1 1 2 37
7Troy Batchelor3 0 2 2 FX 18+1

Heat by heat

Heat 158.60 s5:1

Tomasz Gapiński · VAR3
Kim Nilsson · VAR2*
Peter Ljung · VAS1
Chris Harris · VAS0

Heat 259.20 s2:4

Heat 359.10 s3:2

Heat 459.10 s4:2

Heat 560.20 s5:1

Heat 659.30 s1:5

Heat 71:5

Peter Ljung · VAS3
Troy Batchelor · VAS2*
Kim Nilsson · VAR1
Tomasz Gapiński · VARF

Heat 859.20 s4:2

Heat 959.20 s4:2

Heat 1059.20 s3:3

Heat 1159.70 s3:3

Heat 1259.80 s2:4

Heat 1359.20 s2:4

Chris Harris · VAS3
Peter Kildemand · VAR2
Troy Batchelor · VAS1
Kim Nilsson · VAR0

Heat 1459.80 s3:3

Heat 1559.40 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 5–12 °C; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Wind: 10 km/h SW; gusts up to 30 km/h; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Rain during the day: 2.2 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 4.7 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 76 %; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	14	9	+5	−5
5–7	7	11	−4	+4
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	5	7	−2	+2
	VAR	VAS	VAR	VAS

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+2	77 %
3	+3	82 %
4	+5	90 %
5	+9	96 %
6	+5	88 %
7	+1	70 %
8	+3	83 %
9	+5	89 %
10	+5	92 %
11	+5	92 %
12	+3	86 %
13	+1	74 %
14	+1	77 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Peter Kildemand	5	6.1	11	+4.9
Peter Ljung	6	10.0	13	+3.0
Ludvig Lindgren	4	4.6	7	+2.4
Anders Mellgren	4	3.7	6	+2.3
Kim Nilsson	4	4.8	6	+1.2
Adrian Miedziński	5	10.0	11	+1.0
Hans Andersen	5	7.6	8	+0.4
Tomasz Gapiński	4	6.2	6	-0.2
Pontus Aspgren	4	4.0	3	-1.0
Chris Harris	6	10.0	9	-1.0
Troy Batchelor	6	11.0	8	-3.0
Grzegorz Zengota	4	6.3	1	-5.3
Tomasz Jędrzejak	3	5.6	0	-5.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.2058.60 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 37.0:23.3 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −2.62 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source