Västervik Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 13, 2013 · Hejla Arena, Västervik
Results
- 1Peter Ljung0 1 01
- 2Hans Andersen3 1 1 0 2 18+1
- 3Chris Harris1 1 0 13+1
- 4Daniel Nermark3 0 3 3 312
- 5Troy Batchelor1 3 0 15+1
- 6Ludvig Lindgren0 2 13+1
- 7Tomasz Jędrzejak1 2 0 25
- 1Patryk Dudek1 3 2 39+1
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 1 16+3
- 3Darcy Ward2 3 2 3 R10
- 4Mikkel Michelsen0 3 2 05+1
- 5Fredrik Lindgren3 2 3 2 212+1
- 6Dennis Andersson3 0 2 38+1
- 7Victor Palovaara2 0 1 03+2
Heat by heat
- Hans Andersen · VAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Dennis Andersson · DAC3
- Victor Palovaara · DAC2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS1
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAS0
- Daniel Nermark · VAS3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2
- Chris Harris · VAS1
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAS2
- Troy Batchelor · VAS1*
- Victor Palovaara · DAC0
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS2
- Hans Andersen · VAS1*
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2*
- Chris Harris · VAS1
- Daniel Nermark · VAS0
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC2*
- Hans Andersen · VAS1
- Peter Ljung · VAS0
- Daniel Nermark · VAS3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Victor Palovaara · DAC1*
- Chris Harris · VAS0
- Troy Batchelor · VAS3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1*
- Hans Andersen · VAS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Dennis Andersson · DAC2*
- Peter Ljung · VAS1
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS0
- Dennis Andersson · DAC3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS2
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAS1*
- Victor Palovaara · DAC0
- Daniel Nermark · VAS3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1*
- Troy Batchelor · VAS0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Hans Andersen · VAS2
- Chris Harris · VAS1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC0
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2*
- Troy Batchelor · VAS1
- Peter Ljung · VAS0
- Daniel Nermark · VAS3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Hans Andersen · VAS1
- Darcy Ward · DACR
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 8–18 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 9 km/h SW
- gusts up to 32 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| VAS | DAC | VAS | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -14 | 0 % |
| 11 | -14 | 2 % |
| 12 | -14 | 4 % |
| 13 | -14 | 0 % |
| 14 | -18 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Nermark | 5 | 6.1 | 12 | +5.9 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 9.3 | 12 | +2.7 |
| Dennis Andersson | 4 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Victor Palovaara | 4 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| Patryk Dudek | 4 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Hans Andersen | 6 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 10.6 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 4 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Chris Harris | 4 | 6.3 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Peter Ljung | 3 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.