Dackarna Målilla vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 14, 2013 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Patryk Dudek2 3 2 1 311+2
- 2Dennis Andersson3 1 1 05+1
- 3Fredrik Lindgren2 2 3 3 010+1
- 4Simon Gustafsson1 3 F 15+1
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen2 1 3 28+1
- 6Patrick Hougaard1 1 2 37+1
- 7Mikkel Michelsen0 2 1 25+2
- 1Maciej Janowski0 11+1
- 2Jonas Davidsson1 1 3 0 05
- 3Przemysław Pawlicki3 2 0 2 0 18+1
- 4Linus SundstroemR 3 03
- 5Chris Holder3 2 3 2 3 215
- 6Anton Rosén0 2 0 02+1
- 7Fredrik Engman3 0 1 15+1
Heat by heat
- Dennis Andersson · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR1
- Anton Rosén · PIR0
- Fredrik Engman · PIR3
- Anton Rosén · PIR2*
- Patrick Hougaard · DAC1
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC1*
- Linus Sundstroem · PIRR
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Patrick Hougaard · DAC1*
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC2
- Dennis Andersson · DAC1*
- Anton Rosén · PIR0
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR1
- Maciej Janowski · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Dennis Andersson · DAC1
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Chris Holder · PIR2
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1*
- Simon Gustafsson · DACF
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Patrick Hougaard · DAC2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC1*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Patrick Hougaard · DAC3
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC2*
- Fredrik Engman · PIR1
- Anton Rosén · PIR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC1
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Chris Holder · PIR2
- Maciej Janowski · PIR1*
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Chris Holder · PIR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 3–10 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h SW
- gusts up to 47 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 5.1 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 81 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| DAC | PIR | DAC | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 12.9 | 15 | +2.1 |
| Simon Gustafsson | 4 | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Patrick Hougaard | 4 | 5.1 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Fredrik Engman | 4 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Dennis Andersson | 4 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 3 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Maciej Janowski | 2 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 5 | 7.2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 10.6 | 8 | -2.6 |
| Anton Rosén | 4 | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.