Vargarna Speedway vs Kumla Indianerna
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 6, 2013 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping
Results
- 1Peter Kildemand2 FX 2 3 18+2
- 2Tomasz Gapiński3 3 1 29
- 3Adrian Miedziński3 3 0 17+1
- 4Kim Nilsson1 0 2 14
- 5Nicki Pedersen3 2 3 1 211
- 6Anders Mellgren1 0 34
- 7Pontus Aspgren3 2 1 1 29+4
- 1Antonio Lindbäck0 2 0 3 05
- 2Joonas Kylmakorpi1 1 3 R 0 05+1
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz2 2 FX 26+1
- 4Rune HoltaR 11
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen2 3 3 3 2 316
- 6Mathias ThörnblomX 0 11
- 7Damian Baliński2 1 1 R4+1
Heat by heat
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND1
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND0
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR3
- Damian Baliński · IND2
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1
- Mathias Thörnblom · INDX
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND2
- Kim Nilsson · VAR1
- Rune Holta · INDR
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Damian Baliński · IND1*
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR3
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR2*
- Rune Holta · IND1
- Mathias Thörnblom · IND0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND2
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND1*
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR1
- Peter Kildemand · VARFX
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2
- Damian Baliński · IND1
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR0
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR1*
- Piotr Protasiewicz · INDFX
- Anders Mellgren · VAR3
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR2*
- Mathias Thörnblom · IND1
- Damian Baliński · INDR
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND2
- Kim Nilsson · VAR1
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · INDR
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR2
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR1*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND0
- Peter Kildemand · VAR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR1
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Peter Kildemand · VAR1*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 18–26 °C
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h SE
- gusts up to 50 km/h
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0.5 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| VAR | IND | VAR | IND | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontus Aspgren | 5 | 3.1 | 9 | +5.9 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 12.8 | 16 | +3.2 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Anders Mellgren | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 7.3 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 4 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 6 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Rune Holta | 2 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.