Vargarna Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 30, 2013 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping
Results
- 1Peter Kildemand2 2 3 R7+1
- 2Tomasz Gapiński3 F 0 3 17+1
- 3Adrian Miedziński3 2 1 FX6
- 4Kim Nilsson2 0 3 05+1
- 5Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 1 211
- 6Anders Mellgren1 1 1 0 25
- 7Pontus Aspgren0 1 12+1
- 1Patryk Dudek0 1 01
- 2Fredrik Lindgren1 3 2 1 07
- 3Darcy Ward1 3 3 3 313
- 4Mikkel Michelsen0 3 1 M4
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen2 0 1 25+2
- 6Dennis Andersson3 2 2 2 3 214+1
- 7Victor Palovaara2 0 02+1
Heat by heat
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
- Dennis Andersson · DAC3
- Victor Palovaara · DAC2*
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2*
- Darcy Ward · DAC1
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1
- Victor Palovaara · DAC0
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC3
- Dennis Andersson · DAC2*
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR1
- Tomasz Gapiński · VARF
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC1
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR0
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Dennis Andersson · DAC2
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
- Peter Kildemand · VAR3
- Dennis Andersson · DAC2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1*
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Dennis Andersson · DAC3
- Anders Mellgren · VAR2
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR1*
- Victor Palovaara · DAC0
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR3
- Dennis Andersson · DAC2
- Adrian Miedziński · VARFX
- Mikkel Michelsen · DACM
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2*
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR1
- Peter Kildemand · VARR
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Showers → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14–19 °C
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h W
- gusts up to 42 km/h
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Rain during the day
- 6.4 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 94 %
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 9 | −1 | +1 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| VAR | DAC | VAR | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | +1 | 74 % |
| 14 | -3 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Andersson | 6 | 9.8 | 14 | +4.2 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 9.9 | 13 | +3.1 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 6.0 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.4 | 11 | +0.6 |
| Anders Mellgren | 5 | 5.0 | 5 | -0.0 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Victor Palovaara | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 7.0 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Patryk Dudek | 3 | 5.7 | 1 | -4.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.