Kumla Indianerna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 23, 2013 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Rune Holta1 2 1 15+1
- 2Joonas Kylmakorpi3 1 0 04
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz3 X 3 3 211
- 4Damian Baliński1 1 2 15+1
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 3 2 112+1
- 6Antonio Lindbäck2 1 1 0 26
- 7Mathias Thörnblom1 0 12+2
- 1Patryk Dudek2 3 2 2 09
- 2Dennis Andersson0 0 2 0 02+1
- 3Darcy Ward2 3 2 3 313
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 1 3 09
- 6Mikkel Michelsen3 2 1 0 2 3 112+3
- 7Joel Larsson0 00
Heat by heat
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Rune Holta · IND1
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC3
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND2
- Mathias Thörnblom · IND1*
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2
- Damian Baliński · IND1
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND1
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC2*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND1
- Mathias Thörnblom · IND0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Dennis Andersson · DAC2*
- Damian Baliński · IND1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · INDX
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Rune Holta · IND2
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC1
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND3
- Damian Baliński · IND2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND1
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC2*
- Rune Holta · IND1
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND0
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC3
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND2
- Mathias Thörnblom · IND1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2
- Damian Baliński · IND1
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC1*
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND0
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Rune Holta · IND1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1*
- Patryk Dudek · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14–21 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 12 km/h N
- gusts up to 46 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 3.5 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 4 | 14 | −10 | +10 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| IND | DAC | IND | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | 0 | 57 % |
| 13 | 0 | 56 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 9.4 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 7 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.8 | 12 | +2.2 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.3 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Damian Baliński | 4 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Joel Larsson | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Mathias Thörnblom | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Rune Holta | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 5 | 7.8 | 6 | -1.8 |
| Dennis Andersson | 5 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.