Eskilstuna Smederna vs Vargarna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 23, 2013 · Eskilstuna Motorstadion, Eskilstuna
Results
- 1Peter Karlsson2 3 3 1 1 1 112
- 2Magnus Zetterström1 0 R 01+1
- 3Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 2 15
- 5Grigorij Laguta3 3 3 3 3 318
- 6Linus Eklöf2 1 0 1 26
- 7Szymon Woźniak0 1 R 01
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 2 2 2 211+1
- 2Anders Mellgren0 0 00
- 3Tomasz Gapiński0 2 2 26
- 4Peter Kildemand2 3 1 3 09+1
- 5Grzegorz Zengota2 1 3 R6
- 6Kim Nilsson3 2 3 2 3 013+2
- 7Pontus Aspgren1 0 12
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Peter Karlsson · SME2
- Magnus Zetterström · SME1*
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Linus Eklöf · SME2
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR1
- Szymon Woźniak · SME0
- Peter Karlsson · SME3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAR2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR0
- Peter Kildemand · VAR3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2*
- Szymon Woźniak · SME1
- Magnus Zetterström · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Peter Karlsson · SME3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR2
- Peter Kildemand · VAR1*
- Magnus Zetterström · SMER
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME2
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAR1
- Linus Eklöf · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Linus Eklöf · SME1
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAR3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2*
- Peter Karlsson · SME1
- Szymon Woźniak · SMER
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Linus Eklöf · SME2
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR1
- Szymon Woźniak · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR2
- Peter Karlsson · SME1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Peter Kildemand · VAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · SME1
- Magnus Zetterström · SME0
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR2
- Peter Karlsson · SME1
- Grzegorz Zengota · VARR
- Grigorij Laguta · SME3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Peter Karlsson · SME1
- Peter Kildemand · VAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13–21 °C
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h N
- gusts up to 53 km/h
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
- Rain during the day
- 1.4 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Vasteras Hasslo Airport, 24 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| SME | VAR | SME | VAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead SME
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Nilsson | 6 | 8.3 | 13 | +4.7 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 6 | 13.3 | 18 | +4.7 |
| Peter Karlsson | 7 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.5 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| Linus Eklöf | 5 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 3 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.6 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Anders Mellgren | 3 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 4 | 4.8 | 1 | -3.8 |
| Szymon Woźniak | 4 | 5.4 | 1 | -4.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.