Piraterna Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 2, 2013 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Greg Hancock2 1 3 2 08+2
- 2Piotr Pawlicki1 3 2 2 19+1
- 3Jonas Davidsson1 3 3 18+1
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki0 0 2 13+1
- 5Chris Holder1 3 R 37+1
- 6Anton Rosén2 2 0 37+1
- 7Fredrik Engman3 0 2 FX5+1
- 1Patryk Dudek3 1 2 2 3 314+2
- 2Dennis Andersson0 2 13+1
- 3Darcy Ward3 3 3 0 211+1
- 4Mikkel Michelsen2 2 0 04+1
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen3 1 0 15
- 6Simon Gustafsson1 1 0 1 25+1
- 7Joel Larsson0 0 11+1
Heat by heat
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1*
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Fredrik Engman · PIR3
- Anton Rosén · PIR2*
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC1
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC2*
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Anton Rosén · PIR2
- Chris Holder · PIR1*
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC2
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC1*
- Fredrik Engman · PIR0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Dennis Andersson · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR0
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Greg Hancock · PIR1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC0
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Dennis Andersson · DAC1*
- Anton Rosén · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Fredrik Engman · PIR2*
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Anton Rosén · PIR3
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC2
- Joel Larsson · DAC1*
- Fredrik Engman · PIRFX
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1
- Chris Holder · PIRR
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2
- Jonas Davidsson · PIR1*
- Mikkel Michelsen · DAC0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1
- Darcy Ward · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Greg Hancock · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 11–17 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 15 km/h SW
- gusts up to 40 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| PIR | DAC | PIR | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 10.4 | 14 | +3.6 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 5.0 | 8 | +3.0 |
| Anton Rosén | 4 | 4.8 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Mikkel Michelsen | 4 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Simon Gustafsson | 5 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Dennis Andersson | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Fredrik Engman | 4 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Joel Larsson | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 7.6 | 3 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.