Dackarna Målilla vs Vargarna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 4, 2013 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Patryk DudekR 3 2 2 310
- 2David Watt2 2 0 04
- 3Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 3 1 010
- 4Patrick Hougaard0 0 00
- 5Fredrik Lindgren1 3 1 16+1
- 6Dennis Andersson2 3 0 3 08
- 7Simon Gustafsson1 1 0 13+2
- 1Peter Kildemand3 2 2 2 110+2
- 2Anders Mellgren1 1 13+2
- 3Kim Nilsson1 1 3 05+2
- 4Grzegorz Zengota2 3 2 3 212
- 5Adrian Miedziński0 1 3 37+1
- 6Pontus Aspgren0 0 00
- 7Tomasz Gapiński3 2 2 1 2 212+1
Heat by heat
- Peter Kildemand · VAR3
- David Watt · DAC2
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1
- Patryk Dudek · DACR
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR3
- Dennis Andersson · DAC2
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC1*
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAR2
- Kim Nilsson · VAR1*
- Patrick Hougaard · DAC0
- Dennis Andersson · DAC3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAR3
- David Watt · DAC2
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC1*
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1*
- Patrick Hougaard · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAR2
- Kim Nilsson · VAR1*
- David Watt · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR2
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR1*
- Patrick Hougaard · DAC0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1*
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR1
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC0
- Dennis Andersson · DAC3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR2
- Simon Gustafsson · DAC1
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR0
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1
- Dennis Andersson · DAC0
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAR3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1
- David Watt · DAC0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1*
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAR2
- Peter Kildemand · VAR1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 8–17 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h N
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| DAC | VAR | DAC | VAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomasz Gapiński | 6 | 8.4 | 12 | +3.6 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 5 | 8.4 | 12 | +3.6 |
| Peter Kildemand | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Anders Mellgren | 3 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Dennis Andersson | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Simon Gustafsson | 4 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| David Watt | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 4 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 8.1 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 3 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Patrick Hougaard | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.