Vargarna Speedway vs Eskilstuna Smederna

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 28, 2013 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping

Results

VAR 42 : 48 SME

VAR

1Peter Kildemand1 3 3 F 2 211+1
3Scott Nicholls1 1 3 3 1 110+2
4Kim Nilsson2 0 0 2 04+1
5Adrian Miedziński3 0 3 1 18+1
6Anders Mellgren2 1 2 0 0 27
7Pontus Aspgren1 12+2

SME

1Grigorij Laguta3 1 2 3 R9+1
2Krzysztof Buczkowski0 2 1 36+1
3Andreas Jonsson2 1 2 05+3
4Magnus Zetterström3 3 2 2 313+1
5Kenni Larsen2 1 2 38
6Peter Karlsson3 0 1 37+1
7Oliver Berntzon0 0 0 00

Heat by heat

Heat 158.70 s3:3

Heat 259.50 s3:3

Heat 358.20 s1:5

Heat 458.10 s4:2

Heat 557.90 s3:3

Heat 658.30 s3:3

Heat 758.80 s3:3

Heat 858.10 s5:1

Scott Nicholls · VAR3
Kim Nilsson · VAR2*
Kenni Larsen · SME1
Oliver Berntzon · SME0

Heat 958.10 s3:3

Heat 1057.70 s3:3

Heat 1159.60 s3:3

Heat 1259.10 s1:5

Heat 1359.30 s1:5

Heat 1458.50 s3:3

Heat 1558.00 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy → Showers; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 14–21 °C; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Wind: 21 km/h E; gusts up to 49 km/h; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Rain during the day: 0.8 mm; Possible showers: a second model has the day dry; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 5.3 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 72 %; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	11	13	−2	+2
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	5	13	−8	+8
14–15	6	6	0	0
	VAR	SME	VAR	SME

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	0	64 %
3	-4	34 %
4	-2	46 %
5	-2	47 %
6	-2	48 %
7	-2	46 %
8	+2	71 %
9	+2	73 %
10	+2	70 %
11	+2	68 %
12	-2	35 %
13	-6	4 %
14	-6	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Magnus Zetterström	5	5.4	13	+7.6
Peter Kildemand	6	8.6	11	+2.4
Kenni Larsen	4	6.1	8	+1.9
Anders Mellgren	6	5.8	7	+1.2
Scott Nicholls	6	9.1	10	+0.9
Pontus Aspgren	2	2.1	2	-0.1
Krzysztof Buczkowski	4	6.3	6	-0.3
Kim Nilsson	5	5.2	4	-1.2
Grigorij Laguta	5	10.3	9	-1.3
Peter Karlsson	4	8.5	7	-1.5
Andreas Jonsson	4	7.8	5	-2.8
Adrian Miedziński	5	11.0	8	-3.0
Oliver Berntzon	4	3.9	0	-3.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.6057.70 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 37.7:19.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +0.87 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source