Dackarna Målilla vs Kumla Indianerna

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 28, 2013 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla

Results

DAC 39 : 51 IND

DAC

1Patryk Dudek1 2 2 27
2David Watt3 2 0 F5
3Michael Jepsen Jensen2 3 3 3 1 012
4Patrick Hougaard1 01+1
5Fredrik Lindgren2 2 2 2 1 110+3
6Simon Gustafsson1 0 0 01
7Joel Larsson0 1 0 23+1

IND

Heat by heat

Heat 158.90 s4:2

Heat 259.40 s1:5

Heat 359.00 s3:3

Heat 459.80 s2:4

Heat 559.50 s3:3

Heat 659.70 s3:3

Heat 760.30 s2:4

Heat 859.80 s5:1

Heat 960.50 s2:4

Heat 1059.90 s2:4

Heat 1160.40 s2:4

Heat 1260.00 s5:1

Heat 1360.40 s1:5

Heat 1460.10 s3:3

Heat 1559.60 s1:5

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 12–19 °C; Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Wind: 13 km/h NE; gusts up to 55 km/h; Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Rain during the day: 1.8 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 5.5 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 80 %; Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	8	10	−2	+2
14–15	4	8	−4	+4
	DAC	IND	DAC	IND

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead DAC

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	-2	54 %
3	-2	47 %
4	-4	38 %
5	-4	34 %
6	-4	33 %
7	-6	18 %
8	-2	48 %
9	-4	28 %
10	-6	15 %
11	-8	8 %
12	-4	20 %
13	-8	2 %
14	-8	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Michael Jepsen Jensen	6	8.9	12	+3.1
Niels Kristian Iversen	5	11.4	13	+1.6
Mathias Thörnblom	3	3.7	5	+1.3
Fredrik Lindgren	6	8.8	10	+1.2
Joonas Kylmakorpi	4	4.1	5	+0.9
Damian Baliński	4	5.3	6	+0.7
Joel Larsson	4	2.4	3	+0.6
Patryk Dudek	4	6.9	7	+0.1
Piotr Protasiewicz	4	7.1	7	-0.1
David Watt	4	5.4	5	-0.4
Patrick Hougaard	2	1.9	1	-0.9
Emil Sajfutdinow	5	11.2	9	-2.2
Antonio Lindbäck	5	8.3	6	-2.3
Simon Gustafsson	4	4.6	1	-3.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.5058.90 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 37.3:17.3 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −2.87 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source