Hammarby vs Vargarna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 21, 2013 · Gubbängens IP, Stockholm
Results
- 1Grzegorz Walasek3 0 2 05
- 2Leon Madsen2 3 1 1 18+2
- 3Artem Laguta1 3 3 3 212
- 4Rafał Okoniewski3 1 0 37
- 5Mikael Max1 3 1 38
- 6Sebastian Aldén3 0 2 0 1 17+3
- 7Alexander Edberg0 22
- 1Tomasz Gapiński0 0 1 R1+1
- 2Kim Nilsson1 2 2 R5
- 3Peter Kildemand2 2 2 2 1 09+2
- 4Grzegorz Zengota0 11
- 5Adrian Miedziński3 3 2 3 2 316
- 6Pontus Aspgren1 0 0 34+1
- 7Anders Mellgren2 2 1 05+2
Heat by heat
- Grzegorz Walasek · HAM3
- Leon Madsen · HAM2*
- Kim Nilsson · VAR1
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR0
- Sebastian Aldén · HAM3
- Anders Mellgren · VAR2
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR1*
- Alexander Edberg · HAM0
- Rafał Okoniewski · HAM3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- Artem Laguta · HAM1
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAR0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Anders Mellgren · VAR2*
- Mikael Max · HAM1
- Sebastian Aldén · HAM0
- Leon Madsen · HAM3
- Sebastian Aldén · HAM2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · VAR1
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR0
- Artem Laguta · HAM3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2
- Rafał Okoniewski · HAM1
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2*
- Leon Madsen · HAM1
- Grzegorz Walasek · HAM0
- Artem Laguta · HAM3
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR2
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1*
- Rafał Okoniewski · HAM0
- Mikael Max · HAM3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAR1*
- Sebastian Aldén · HAM0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Grzegorz Walasek · HAM2
- Sebastian Aldén · HAM1*
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR0
- Pontus Aspgren · VAR3
- Alexander Edberg · HAM2
- Sebastian Aldén · HAM1*
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Rafał Okoniewski · HAM3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- Mikael Max · HAM1
- Kim Nilsson · VARR
- Artem Laguta · HAM3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- Leon Madsen · HAM1
- Tomasz Gapiński · VARR
- Mikael Max · HAM3
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR2
- Peter Kildemand · VAR1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · HAM0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Artem Laguta · HAM2
- Leon Madsen · HAM1*
- Peter Kildemand · VAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12–15 °C
- Measured · Stockholm Bromma Airport, 12 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NE
- gusts up to 34 km/h
- Measured · Stockholm Bromma Airport, 12 km away
- Rain during the day
- 2.9 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 92 %
- Measured · Stockholm Bromma Airport, 12 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| HAM | VAR | HAM | VAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead HAM
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 6 | 12.7 | 16 | +3.3 |
| Peter Kildemand | 6 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Mikael Max | 4 | 5.9 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Artem Laguta | 5 | 10.2 | 12 | +1.8 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Rafał Okoniewski | 4 | 6.3 | 7 | +0.7 |
| Anders Mellgren | 4 | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| Alexander Edberg | 2 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Sebastian Aldén | 6 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Leon Madsen | 5 | 9.8 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 2 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 7.7 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 5.3 | 1 | -4.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.