Piraterna Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Wednesday, September 19, 2012 · Fornås Arena, Motala
Results
- 1Chris Holder3 3 2 311+1
- 3Maciej Janowski2 0 0 1 03+1
- 4Przemysław Pawlicki2 2 3 3 0 313
- 5Greg Hancock2 2 2 1 07
- 6Anton Rosén2 0 24+1
- 7Grzegorz Zengota1 1 1 1 3 3 313+3
- 1Fredrik Lindgren1 1 2 04
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen0 3 1 3 3 1 213+2
- 3Darcy Ward3 2 1 2 19+1
- 5Andreas Jonsson3 2 1 2 08
- 6Joel LarssonF 0 00
- 7Jonas Davidsson3 1 0 0 0 15
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Maciej Janowski · PIR2*
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC3
- Anton Rosén · PIR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · PIR1*
- Joel Larsson · DACF
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1
- Maciej Janowski · PIR0
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC1
- Anton Rosén · PIR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · PIR1*
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1*
- Maciej Janowski · PIR0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2
- Grzegorz Zengota · PIR1
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · PIR1
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Grzegorz Zengota · PIR1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC0
- Grzegorz Zengota · PIR3
- Chris Holder · PIR2*
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC1
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC0
- Grzegorz Zengota · PIR3
- Anton Rosén · PIR2*
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC1
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2
- Darcy Ward · DAC1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · PIR3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1*
- Maciej Janowski · PIR0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2
- Greg Hancock · PIR1
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Darcy Ward · DAC1*
- Greg Hancock · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 6–13 °C
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Wind
- 21 km/h SW
- gusts up to 52 km/h
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
- Rain during the day
- 1.6 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 78 %
- Measured · Linkoping Malmen Airport, 29 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| PIR | DAC | PIR | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead PIR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +12 | 100 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 6 | 9.4 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 7 | 11.0 | 13 | +2.0 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 7 | 11.2 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 7.2 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Anton Rosén | 3 | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| Joel Larsson | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 9.2 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 6 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Maciej Janowski | 5 | 6.9 | 3 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.