Dackarna Målilla vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 11, 2012 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 R 1 18
- 2Patryk Dudek2 2 2 3 3 214+1
- 3Darcy Ward2 3 1 2 2 111+4
- 5Fredrik Lindgren2 1 2 3 08
- 6Jonas Davidsson1 0 R 0 23
- 7Joel Larsson0 0 00
- 1Przemysław Pawlicki1 2 1 04
- 2Grzegorz Zengota0 F 3 14
- 3Greg Hancock0 3 0 3 39
- 4Maciej Janowski1 3 1 16
- 5Chris Holder3 0 3 2 08+1
- 6Anton Rosén2 1 14+1
- 7Linus Sundstroem3 1 2 2 311+1
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · PIR0
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR3
- Anton Rosén · PIR2*
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC1
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2*
- Maciej Janowski · PIR1
- Greg Hancock · PIR0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR1
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC0
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Anton Rosén · PIR1
- Jonas Davidsson · DACR
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR2
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1
- Grzegorz Zengota · PIRF
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Maciej Janowski · PIR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DACR
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR2
- Darcy Ward · DAC1
- Chris Holder · PIR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · PIR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC0
- Chris Holder · PIR3
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR3
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC2
- Anton Rosén · PIR1
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2*
- Grzegorz Zengota · PIR1
- Greg Hancock · PIR0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2*
- Maciej Janowski · PIR1
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Chris Holder · PIR2*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Darcy Ward · DAC1*
- Chris Holder · PIR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15–23 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h S
- gusts up to 62 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 4.3 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 80 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| DAC | PIR | DAC | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 9.5 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 5 | 8.1 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Darcy Ward | 6 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Anton Rosén | 3 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 5 | 8.1 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 4 | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| Joel Larsson | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 4 | 6.6 | 4 | -2.6 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 5 | 7.1 | 3 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.