Dackarna Målilla vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 28, 2012 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Andreas Jonsson2 0 3 05+1
- 2Michael Jepsen Jensen3 3 3 3 214
- 3Darcy Ward3 3 3 2 R11+1
- 4Tai Woffinden1 1 0 02
- 5Fredrik Lindgren1 2 2 38+1
- 6Patryk Dudek3 3 2 3 213+1
- 7Joel Larsson0 0 00
- 1Nicolai Klindt0 00
- 2Tomasz Jędrzejak1 2 2 1 3 110
- 3Chris Harris2 1 R 1 2 39+1
- 4Mikael Max0 11
- 5Peter Ljung0 2 2 1 16+1
- 6Pontus Aspgren1 0 12+1
- 7David Watt2 2 1 1 3 09+2
Heat by heat
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS1
- Nicolai Klindt · VAS0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- David Watt · VAS2
- Pontus Aspgren · VAS1*
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Chris Harris · VAS2
- Tai Woffinden · DAC1
- Mikael Max · VAS0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- David Watt · VAS2
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1
- Peter Ljung · VAS0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2*
- Mikael Max · VAS1
- Pontus Aspgren · VAS0
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS2
- Tai Woffinden · DAC1
- Nicolai Klindt · VAS0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS2
- Chris Harris · VAS1*
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC0
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Peter Ljung · VAS2
- David Watt · VAS1*
- Tai Woffinden · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2*
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS1
- Chris Harris · VASR
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Peter Ljung · VAS2
- David Watt · VAS1*
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- David Watt · VAS3
- Patryk Dudek · DAC2
- Pontus Aspgren · VAS1
- Joel Larsson · DAC0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Chris Harris · VAS1
- Tai Woffinden · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2*
- Peter Ljung · VAS1
- David Watt · VAS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Chris Harris · VAS2
- Peter Ljung · VAS1*
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC0
- Chris Harris · VAS3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS1
- Darcy Ward · DACR
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Showers
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13–17 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h SE
- gusts up to 31 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0.5 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 70 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| DAC | VAS | DAC | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +14 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +18 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.8 | 14 | +5.2 |
| Patryk Dudek | 5 | 9.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 6 | 9.1 | 10 | +0.9 |
| Peter Ljung | 5 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Chris Harris | 6 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| David Watt | 6 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Mikael Max | 2 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Joel Larsson | 3 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 4 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 6.5 | 2 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.