Vargarna Speedway vs Valsarna

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 14, 2012 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping

Results

VAR 49 : 41 VAL

VAR

1Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 3 213+1
2Kim Nilsson3 2 1 0 06+1
3Peter Kildemand3 2 0 16
4Bjarne Pedersen1 0 12
5Peter Karlsson2 2 1 16+1
6Anders Mellgren2 3 0 38+1
7Adam Skornicki3 3 0 2 08+1

VAL

2Tomasz Gapiński1 3 3 3 3 3 319
3Zbigniew Suchecki0 R 1 01
4Krzysztof Kasprzak0 2 1 2 2 2 110+1
5Daniel Nermark0 1 2 1 2 28+3
6Daniel Gunnestad0 0 00
7Robin Törnqvist1 1 13

Heat by heat

Heat 158.40 s5:1

Heat 258.90 s5:1

Heat 358.40 s4:2

Heat 459.00 s5:1

Heat 558.10 s5:1

Heat 657.90 s2:4

Heat 758.30 s4:2

Heat 858.20 s1:5

Heat 958.30 s2:4

Heat 1058.40 s3:3

Heat 1159.70 s5:1

Heat 1258.40 s1:5

Heat 1358.50 s1:5

Heat 1459.10 s4:2

Heat 1558.20 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 13–21 °C; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Wind: 10 km/h NE; gusts up to 36 km/h; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 65 %; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	19	5	+14	−14
5–7	11	7	+4	−4
8–10	6	12	−6	+6
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	6	6	0	0
	VAR	VAL	VAR	VAL

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+8	96 %
3	+10	98 %
4	+14	100 %
5	+18	100 %
6	+16	99 %
7	+18	100 %
8	+14	100 %
9	+12	99 %
10	+12	100 %
11	+16	100 %
12	+12	100 %
13	+8	98 %
14	+10	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Tomasz Gapiński	7	11.2	19	+7.8
Anders Mellgren	4	3.6	8	+4.4
Adam Skornicki	5	6.1	8	+1.9
Peter Kildemand	4	4.7	6	+1.3
Nicki Pedersen	5	11.9	13	+1.1
Kim Nilsson	5	5.6	6	+0.4
Robin Törnqvist	3	4.4	3	-1.4
Peter Karlsson	4	7.6	6	-1.6
Krzysztof Kasprzak	7	11.9	10	-1.9
Zbigniew Suchecki	4	3.1	1	-2.1
Bjarne Pedersen	3	4.4	2	-2.4
Daniel Nermark	6	11.3	8	-3.3
Daniel Gunnestad	3	4.1	0	-4.1

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.7057.90 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 40.0:25.3 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +1.67 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source