Vargarna Speedway vs Piraterna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 31, 2012 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping
Results
- 1Peter Karlsson1 3 1 2 29+1
- 2Bjarne Pedersen2 2 0 15
- 3Nicki PedersenR 3 R 36
- 4Kim Nilsson2 2 3 0 07+1
- 5Scott Nicholls2 1 1 FX4
- 6Peter Kildemand3 0 0 25
- 7André Hertzberg1 0 12+1
- 1Maciej Janowski3 0 3 06
- 2Piotr Pawlicki0 1 2 36+1
- 3Greg Hancock3 1 2 3 312+2
- 4Linus Sundstroem1 3 2 28
- 5Przemysław Pawlicki3 1 3 1 19+1
- 6Grzegorz ZengotaFX 33
- 7Anton Rosén2 1 2 2 R7+1
Heat by heat
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR2
- Peter Karlsson · VAR1*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR0
- Peter Kildemand · VAR3
- Anton Rosén · PIR2
- André Hertzberg · VAR1
- Grzegorz Zengota · PIRFX
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR1
- Nicki Pedersen · VARR
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Scott Nicholls · VAR2
- Anton Rosén · PIR1
- Peter Kildemand · VAR0
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR3
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR2
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2*
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR1
- Maciej Janowski · PIR0
- Peter Karlsson · VAR3
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR2
- Greg Hancock · PIR1*
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR0
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Anton Rosén · PIR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1*
- Nicki Pedersen · VARR
- Maciej Janowski · PIR3
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR2*
- Scott Nicholls · VAR1
- Peter Kildemand · VAR0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR3
- Anton Rosén · PIR2*
- Peter Karlsson · VAR1
- André Hertzberg · VAR0
- Grzegorz Zengota · PIR3
- Peter Kildemand · VAR2
- André Hertzberg · VAR1*
- Anton Rosén · PIRR
- Piotr Pawlicki · PIR3
- Greg Hancock · PIR2*
- Scott Nicholls · VAR1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Linus Sundstroem · PIR2
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR1
- Maciej Janowski · PIR0
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Peter Karlsson · VAR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1
- Scott Nicholls · VARFX
- Greg Hancock · PIR3
- Peter Karlsson · VAR2
- Przemysław Pawlicki · PIR1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12–20 °C
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h SW
- gusts up to 44 km/h
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 7 | +3 | −3 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| VAR | PIR | VAR | PIR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -6 | 12 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 4.1 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Linus Sundstroem | 4 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Greg Hancock | 5 | 10.4 | 12 | +1.6 |
| Anton Rosén | 5 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Peter Karlsson | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Piotr Pawlicki | 4 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| André Hertzberg | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Maciej Janowski | 4 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 5.9 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Grzegorz Zengota | 2 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 4 | 6.2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| Scott Nicholls | 4 | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 9.7 | 6 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.