Dackarna Målilla vs Vargarna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 24, 2012 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Andreas Jonsson3 3 3 1 212
- 2Jonas Davidsson0 0 0 33
- 3Darcy Ward2 2 3 2 110+3
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen1 3 2 17+3
- 5Fredrik Lindgren3 2 2 07
- 6Linus Eklöf1 R 0 23
- 7Victor PalovaaraFX 1 0 12+1
- 1Peter Karlsson2 1 1 15
- 2Scott Nicholls1 0 3 3 07+1
- 3Nicki Pedersen3 2 0 2 310+1
- 4Peter KildemandR 3 1 R4+1
- 5Bjarne Pedersen2 1 2 38
- 6Kim Nilsson3 2 1 39+2
- 7Anders Mellgren2 1 0 03+2
Heat by heat
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Peter Karlsson · VAR2
- Scott Nicholls · VAR1*
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC0
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Anders Mellgren · VAR2*
- Linus Eklöf · DAC1
- Victor Palovaara · DACFX
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1*
- Peter Kildemand · VARR
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR2
- Anders Mellgren · VAR1*
- Linus Eklöf · DACR
- Peter Kildemand · VAR3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2*
- Victor Palovaara · DAC1
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2*
- Peter Karlsson · VAR1
- Scott Nicholls · VAR0
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Peter Kildemand · VAR1*
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC0
- Darcy Ward · DAC3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC2*
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR1
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Scott Nicholls · VAR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Peter Karlsson · VAR1
- Linus Eklöf · DAC0
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR2
- Kim Nilsson · VAR1*
- Victor Palovaara · DAC0
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Linus Eklöf · DAC2
- Victor Palovaara · DAC1*
- Anders Mellgren · VAR0
- Scott Nicholls · VAR3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC1*
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR0
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC3
- Darcy Ward · DAC2*
- Peter Karlsson · VAR1
- Peter Kildemand · VARR
- Bjarne Pedersen · VAR3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2*
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC1
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2
- Darcy Ward · DAC1*
- Scott Nicholls · VAR0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 16–27 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h SW
- gusts up to 43 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| DAC | VAR | DAC | VAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 6.2 | 9 | +2.8 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 4 | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Scott Nicholls | 5 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 11.2 | 12 | +0.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Darcy Ward | 5 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Peter Kildemand | 4 | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Anders Mellgren | 4 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Peter Karlsson | 4 | 6.4 | 5 | -1.4 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Victor Palovaara | 4 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Linus Eklöf | 4 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.