Valsarna vs Hammarby
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 29, 2012 · Emtbjörks AB Arena, Hagfors
Results
- 1Krzysztof Buczkowski0 2 2 2 39+1
- 2Tomasz Gapiński2 3 16+1
- 3Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 0 17
- 4Robert Kościecha2 1 2 R5+1
- 5Daniel Nermark1 3 1 3 210+1
- 6Robin Törnqvist1 0 0 34+1
- 7Victor Palovaara2 0 1 03+1
- 1Magnus Zetterström1 0 2 3 06
- 2Tobiasz Musielak3 2 1 2 19+2
- 3Troy Batchelor1 01
- 4Dennis Andersson0 1 3 26+2
- 5Grzegorz Walasek2 3 R 05+1
- 6Adrian MiedzińskiR 2 3 2 310
- 7Sebastian Aldén3 3 1 1 19+1
Heat by heat
- Tobiasz Musielak · HAM3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAL2
- Magnus Zetterström · HAM1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL0
- Sebastian Aldén · HAM3
- Victor Palovaara · VAL2
- Robin Törnqvist · VAL1*
- Adrian Miedziński · HAMR
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · VAL3
- Robert Kościecha · VAL2*
- Troy Batchelor · HAM1
- Dennis Andersson · HAM0
- Sebastian Aldén · HAM3
- Grzegorz Walasek · HAM2*
- Daniel Nermark · VAL1
- Robin Törnqvist · VAL0
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAL3
- Adrian Miedziński · HAM2
- Dennis Andersson · HAM1*
- Victor Palovaara · VAL0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · VAL3
- Tobiasz Musielak · HAM2
- Robert Kościecha · VAL1
- Magnus Zetterström · HAM0
- Dennis Andersson · HAM3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL2
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAL1*
- Troy Batchelor · HAM0
- Grzegorz Walasek · HAM3
- Robert Kościecha · VAL2
- Sebastian Aldén · HAM1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · VAL0
- Daniel Nermark · VAL3
- Magnus Zetterström · HAM2
- Tobiasz Musielak · HAM1*
- Robin Törnqvist · VAL0
- Adrian Miedziński · HAM3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL2
- Victor Palovaara · VAL1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · HAMR
- Robin Törnqvist · VAL3
- Adrian Miedziński · HAM2
- Sebastian Aldén · HAM1*
- Victor Palovaara · VAL0
- Adrian Miedziński · HAM3
- Tobiasz Musielak · HAM2*
- Daniel Nermark · VAL1
- Robert Kościecha · VALR
- Magnus Zetterström · HAM3
- Dennis Andersson · HAM2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · VAL1
- Daniel Nermark · VAL3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL2*
- Sebastian Aldén · HAM1
- Grzegorz Walasek · HAM0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL3
- Daniel Nermark · VAL2*
- Tobiasz Musielak · HAM1
- Magnus Zetterström · HAM0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 7–14 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 9 km/h NW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 36 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 10 | 2 | +8 | −8 | |
| VAL | HAM | VAL | HAM | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAL
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -2 | 36 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Aldén | 5 | 4.9 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 6.0 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Daniel Nermark | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 3 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Dennis Andersson | 4 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 10.0 | 10 | +0.0 |
| Victor Palovaara | 4 | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Robert Kościecha | 4 | 5.6 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Robin Törnqvist | 4 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Troy Batchelor | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Magnus Zetterström | 5 | 9.1 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 9.0 | 5 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.