Dackarna Målilla vs Västervik Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 15, 2012 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla
Results
- 1Andreas Jonsson2 3 3 2 212+1
- 2Jonas Davidsson1 2 0 25+1
- 3Scott Nicholls1 1 13
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen0 0 33
- 5Fredrik Lindgren1 3 2 1 1 311+1
- 6Patryk Dudek3 3 1 X 3 111+2
- 7Tim Gudmundsson0 1 01
- 1David Watt3 3 1 3 010
- 2Jurica Pavlic0 2 3 2 18+1
- 3Chris Harris3 2 0 05
- 4Daniel King2 3 1 06+2
- 5Peter Ljung2 0 2 37
- 6Pontus Aspgren1 0 0 23+1
- 7Mikael Max2 0 2 15+1
Heat by heat
- David Watt · VAS3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC1*
- Jurica Pavlic · VAS0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Mikael Max · VAS2
- Pontus Aspgren · VAS1*
- Tim Gudmundsson · DAC0
- Chris Harris · VAS3
- Daniel King · VAS2*
- Scott Nicholls · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Peter Ljung · VAS2
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1
- Mikael Max · VAS0
- Daniel King · VAS3
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Pontus Aspgren · VAS0
- David Watt · VAS3
- Jurica Pavlic · VAS2*
- Scott Nicholls · DAC1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC0
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Chris Harris · VAS2
- Daniel King · VAS1*
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Mikael Max · VAS2
- Scott Nicholls · DAC1
- Peter Ljung · VAS0
- Jurica Pavlic · VAS3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- David Watt · VAS1
- Patryk Dudek · DACX
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Peter Ljung · VAS2
- Tim Gudmundsson · DAC1
- Pontus Aspgren · VAS0
- Patryk Dudek · DAC3
- Pontus Aspgren · VAS2
- Mikael Max · VAS1*
- Tim Gudmundsson · DAC0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · DAC3
- Jurica Pavlic · VAS2
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1
- Chris Harris · VAS0
- David Watt · VAS3
- Jonas Davidsson · DAC2
- Patryk Dudek · DAC1*
- Daniel King · VAS0
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC1*
- Chris Harris · VAS0
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2*
- Jurica Pavlic · VAS1
- David Watt · VAS0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 4–15 °C
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h SE
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0.6 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 55 %
- Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| DAC | VAS | DAC | VAS | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead DAC
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Watt | 5 | 6.3 | 10 | +3.7 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Jurica Pavlic | 5 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Daniel King | 4 | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 6 | 10.9 | 11 | +0.1 |
| Mikael Max | 4 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Pontus Aspgren | 4 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Chris Harris | 4 | 5.8 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Scott Nicholls | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Jonas Davidsson | 4 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Patryk Dudek | 6 | 12.8 | 11 | -1.8 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 3 | 5.2 | 3 | -2.2 |
| Tim Gudmundsson | 3 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.