Västervik Speedway vs Vargarna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 20, 2011 · Hejla Arena, Västervik
Results
- 1Tomasz Jędrzejak2 2 3 29+2
- 2Peter Ljung3 1 0 37+1
- 3Chris Harris3 2 1 2 FX8+2
- 4Nicolai Klindt1 3 3 18
- 5Sebastian Ułamek3 2 0 38
- 6Travis McGowan2 1 2 0 16
- 7Tim Gudmundsson1 0 01+1
- 1Lee Richardson1 1 1 2 1 28+2
- 2Magnus Karlsson0 00
- 3Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 3 1 315
- 4Michael Jepsen Jensen0 3 1 04
- 5Michał Szczepaniak2 2 1 05+1
- 6Adam Skornicki0 F 2 24+1
- 7Kim Nilsson3 0 0 36
Heat by heat
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS2*
- Lee Richardson · VAR1
- Magnus Karlsson · VAR0
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Travis McGowan · VAS2
- Tim Gudmundsson · VAS1*
- Adam Skornicki · VAR0
- Chris Harris · VAS3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Nicolai Klindt · VAS1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · VAR0
- Sebastian Ułamek · VAS3
- Michał Szczepaniak · VAR2
- Travis McGowan · VAS1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · VAR3
- Travis McGowan · VAS2
- Peter Ljung · VAS1*
- Adam Skornicki · VARF
- Nicolai Klindt · VAS3
- Chris Harris · VAS2*
- Lee Richardson · VAR1
- Magnus Karlsson · VAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS2
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · VAR1
- Peter Ljung · VAS0
- Nicolai Klindt · VAS3
- Michał Szczepaniak · VAR2
- Chris Harris · VAS1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Sebastian Ułamek · VAS2
- Lee Richardson · VAR1
- Travis McGowan · VAS0
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS3
- Adam Skornicki · VAR2
- Michał Szczepaniak · VAR1*
- Tim Gudmundsson · VAS0
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Adam Skornicki · VAR2*
- Travis McGowan · VAS1
- Tim Gudmundsson · VAS0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Lee Richardson · VAR2*
- Nicolai Klindt · VAS1
- Sebastian Ułamek · VAS0
- Peter Ljung · VAS3
- Chris Harris · VAS2*
- Lee Richardson · VAR1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · VAR0
- Sebastian Ułamek · VAS3
- Tomasz Jędrzejak · VAS2*
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR1
- Michał Szczepaniak · VAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Lee Richardson · VAR2*
- Chris Harris · VASFX
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14–17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 16 km/h SW
- gusts up to 46 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 76 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 6 | −1 | +1 | |
| VAS | VAR | VAS | VAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAS
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomasz Jędrzejak | 4 | 6.1 | 9 | +2.9 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 4 | 5.5 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Sebastian Ułamek | 4 | 6.2 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Peter Ljung | 4 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 14.1 | 15 | +0.9 |
| Travis McGowan | 5 | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Michał Szczepaniak | 4 | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Chris Harris | 5 | 8.7 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 4 | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Lee Richardson | 6 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Adam Skornicki | 4 | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Magnus Karlsson | 2 | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Tim Gudmundsson | 3 | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.