Valsarna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 13, 2011 · Emtbjörks AB Arena, Hagfors
Results
- 1Grigorij Laguta1 1 3 3 311+1
- 2David Watt3 3 2 210
- 3Tomasz Gapiński3 3 2 08
- 4Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 1 14+2
- 5Daniel Nermark3 3 2 2 010+1
- 6Scott Nicholls3 1 2 0 28+1
- 7Ludvig Lindgren1 0 01
- 1Andreas Jonsson2 2 3 1 3 3 216
- 3Fredrik Lindgren0 2 0 02
- 4Hans Andersen1 3 0 1 16+2
- 5Rune Holta2 0 0 1 14+1
- 6Daniel King0 2 2 3 07
- 7Anders Mellgren2 0 13
Heat by heat
- David Watt · VAL3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2
- Grigorij Laguta · VAL1
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC0
- Scott Nicholls · VAL3
- Anders Mellgren · DAC2
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAL1
- Daniel King · DAC0
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAL3
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL1
- Daniel Nermark · VAL3
- Rune Holta · DAC2
- Scott Nicholls · VAL1
- Anders Mellgren · DAC0
- David Watt · VAL3
- Daniel King · DAC2
- Hans Andersen · DAC1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAL0
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAL3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL1
- Rune Holta · DAC0
- Hans Andersen · DAC3
- David Watt · VAL2
- Grigorij Laguta · VAL1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC0
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAL2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL1*
- Rune Holta · DAC0
- Daniel Nermark · VAL3
- Scott Nicholls · VAL2*
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC1
- Hans Andersen · DAC0
- Grigorij Laguta · VAL3
- Daniel King · DAC2
- Rune Holta · DAC1*
- Scott Nicholls · VAL0
- Daniel King · DAC3
- Scott Nicholls · VAL2
- Anders Mellgren · DAC1
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAL0
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Daniel Nermark · VAL2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL1*
- Fredrik Lindgren · DAC0
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- David Watt · VAL2
- Hans Andersen · DAC1
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAL0
- Grigorij Laguta · VAL3
- Daniel Nermark · VAL2*
- Rune Holta · DAC1
- Daniel King · DAC0
- Grigorij Laguta · VAL3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2
- Hans Andersen · DAC1*
- Daniel Nermark · VAL0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 12–14 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 23 km/h SW
- gusts up to 60 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 1.9 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 16 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 87 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| VAL | DAC | VAL | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAL
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Watt | 4 | 4.6 | 10 | +5.4 |
| Daniel Nermark | 5 | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Grigorij Laguta | 5 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Scott Nicholls | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | +0.5 |
| Anders Mellgren | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Daniel King | 5 | 7.2 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Hans Andersen | 5 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 7 | 17.0 | 16 | -1.0 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 7.3 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Fredrik Lindgren | 4 | 6.9 | 2 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.