Vargarna Speedway vs Västervik Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 13, 2011 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping

Results

VAR 50 : 40 VAS

VAR

1Lee Richardson2 1 3 1 18+2
2Michael Jepsen Jensen3 2 0 27+1
3Adam Skornicki1 1 3 05+1
4Michał Szczepaniak0 2 2 04+1
5Nicki Pedersen3 3 3 2 314
6Kim Nilsson0 2 1 25+1
7Magnus Karlsson2 3 2 07+1

VAS

1Tomasz Jędrzejak1 FX 12
2Peter Ljung0 3 0 14+1
3Chris Harris3 2 2 2 312+1
4Nicolai Klindt2 1 3 3 0 211+1
5Sebastian Ułamek0 0 00
6Pontus Aspgren1 0 1 35
7Travis McGowan3 1 1 16

Heat by heat

Heat 159.10 s5:1

Heat 260.30 s2:4

Heat 359.50 s1:5

Heat 459.20 s5:1

Heat 561.10 s5:1

Heat 660.60 s3:3

Heat 759.90 s1:5

Heat 860.40 s5:1

Heat 960.10 s4:2

Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
Chris Harris · VAS2
Kim Nilsson · VAR1
Peter Ljung · VAS0

Heat 1061.50 s5:1

Heat 1160.80 s2:4

Heat 1260.60 s3:3

Heat 1360.80 s2:4

Heat 1459.70 s3:3

Chris Harris · VAS3
Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
Lee Richardson · VAR1*
Nicolai Klindt · VAS0

Heat 1560.10 s

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Cloudy → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 14–17 °C; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Wind: 39 km/h SW; gusts up to 83 km/h; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 3.6 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 65 %; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	14	4	+10	−10
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	7	5	+2	−2
	VAR	VAS	VAR	VAS

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+4	85 %
2	+2	77 %
3	-2	47 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+6	90 %
6	+6	88 %
7	+2	70 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+8	94 %
10	+12	100 %
11	+10	97 %
12	+10	98 %
13	+8	98 %
14	+8	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Chris Harris	5	7.6	12	+4.4
Nicki Pedersen	5	11.7	14	+2.3
Nicolai Klindt	6	9.3	11	+1.7
Travis McGowan	4	4.5	6	+1.5
Michael Jepsen Jensen	4	5.8	7	+1.2
Magnus Karlsson	4	6.0	7	+1.0
Pontus Aspgren	4	4.1	5	+0.9
Adam Skornicki	4	5.0	5	+0.0
Kim Nilsson	4	5.3	5	-0.3
Michał Szczepaniak	4	4.6	4	-0.6
Lee Richardson	5	8.6	8	-0.6
Peter Ljung	4	6.0	4	-2.0
Tomasz Jędrzejak	3	5.3	2	-3.3
Sebastian Ułamek	3	6.2	0	-6.2

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 61.5059.10 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 37.0:28.3 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −2.00 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source