Vargarna Speedway vs Lejonen
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, September 6, 2011 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping
Results
- 1Lee Richardson1 1 1 R3+1
- 2Tai Woffinden2 2 R 04+1
- 3Adrian Miedziński3 3 3 2 314
- 4Adam Skornicki0 2 1 25+2
- 5Nicki Pedersen3 2 3 2 111
- 6Kim Nilsson3 1 3 1 0 311+1
- 7Magnus Karlsson0 22+1
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 0 0 14
- 2Mikael Max0 11
- 3Darcy Ward1 3 1 05+1
- 4Chris Holder2 1 2 3 3 213+1
- 5Troy Batchelor0 2 3 38
- 6Oliver Berntzon1 0 12+1
- 7Sebastian Aldén2 2 0 2 F6+1
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ3
- Tai Woffinden · VAR2
- Lee Richardson · VAR1*
- Mikael Max · LEJ0
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Sebastian Aldén · LEJ2
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1*
- Magnus Karlsson · VAR0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2
- Darcy Ward · LEJ1*
- Adam Skornicki · VAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Sebastian Aldén · LEJ2
- Kim Nilsson · VAR1
- Troy Batchelor · LEJ0
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Tai Woffinden · VAR2*
- Chris Holder · LEJ1
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Adam Skornicki · VAR2*
- Mikael Max · LEJ1
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ0
- Darcy Ward · LEJ3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2*
- Lee Richardson · VAR1
- Tai Woffinden · VARR
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Troy Batchelor · LEJ2
- Adam Skornicki · VAR1
- Sebastian Aldén · LEJ0
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Kim Nilsson · VAR1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ0
- Troy Batchelor · LEJ3
- Sebastian Aldén · LEJ2*
- Lee Richardson · VAR1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Kim Nilsson · VAR3
- Magnus Karlsson · VAR2*
- Oliver Berntzon · LEJ1
- Sebastian Aldén · LEJF
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Adam Skornicki · VAR2*
- Chris Holder · LEJ3
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR2
- Kenneth Bjerre · LEJ1
- Tai Woffinden · VAR0
- Troy Batchelor · LEJ3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Darcy Ward · LEJ1
- Lee Richardson · VARR
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Chris Holder · LEJ2
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR1
- Darcy Ward · LEJ0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 15–20 °C
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h S
- gusts up to 48 km/h
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
- Rain during the day
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 13.6 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 5 | +7 | −7 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| VAR | LEJ | VAR | LEJ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAR
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 7.9 | 14 | +6.1 |
| Kim Nilsson | 6 | 6.5 | 11 | +4.5 |
| Troy Batchelor | 4 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 12.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.7 | 11 | +0.3 |
| Adam Skornicki | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Sebastian Aldén | 5 | 6.0 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 3 | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Mikael Max | 2 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Darcy Ward | 4 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Magnus Karlsson | 2 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Lee Richardson | 4 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 4 | 8.0 | 4 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.