Vargarna Speedway vs Kumla Indianerna

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 30, 2011 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping

Results

VAR 41 : 49 IND

VAR

1Lee Richardson1 R 1 2 37+2
2Tai Woffinden2 2 1 1 28+1
3Adrian Miedziński2 0 3 05
4Michael Jepsen Jensen0 1 2 03+1
5Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 3 314
6Kim Nilsson0 22
7Eric Andersson1 12+1

IND

1Bjarne Pedersen3 1 2 0 39+1
2Niels Kristian Iversen3 2 2 18+2
4Antonio Lindbäck3 3 3 2 112+1
5Joonas Kylmakorpi3 1 1 2 07+1
6Grzegorz Zengota3 1 2 3 110
7Simon Gustafsson2 1 0 F 03+1

Heat by heat

Heat 158.10 s

Heat 258.10 s

Heat 357.80 s2:4

Heat 458.60 s2:4

Heat 558.40 s

Heat 658.10 s1:5

Heat 758.00 s1:5

Heat 858.80 s5:1

Heat 958.50 s4:2

Heat 1059.10 s

Heat 1158.10 s3:3

Heat 1258.50 s3:3

Heat 1358.90 s1:5

Heat 1458.70 s5:1

Heat 1558.60 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Showers → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 11–16 °C; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Wind: 6 km/h NE; gusts up to 20 km/h; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Rain during the day: 6.9 mm; Possible showers: a second model has the day dry; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.6 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 84 %; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	8	16	−8	+8
5–7	4	14	−10	+10
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	7	11	−4	+4
14–15	10	2	+8	−8
	VAR	IND	VAR	IND

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
3	-2	47 %
4	-4	38 %
6	-8	18 %
7	-12	4 %
8	-8	12 %
9	-6	20 %
11	-6	12 %
12	-6	6 %
13	-10	1 %
14	-6	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Nicki Pedersen	5	9.9	14	+4.1
Antonio Lindbäck	5	8.8	12	+3.2
Niels Kristian Iversen	4	5.7	8	+2.3
Bjarne Pedersen	5	7.2	9	+1.8
Tai Woffinden	5	7.1	8	+0.9
Grzegorz Zengota	5	10.0	10	+0.0
Kim Nilsson	2	2.3	2	-0.3
Eric Andersson	2	3.0	2	-1.0
Michael Jepsen Jensen	4	5.1	3	-2.1
Lee Richardson	5	9.1	7	-2.1
Simon Gustafsson	5	5.3	3	-2.3
Joonas Kylmakorpi	5	9.3	7	-2.3
Adrian Miedziński	4	7.4	5	-2.4

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.1057.80 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 40.0:21.3 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +0.17

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source