Dackarna Målilla vs Vargarna Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 10, 2011 · Skrotfrag Arena, Målilla

Results

DAC 56 : 34 VAR

DAC

1Andreas Jonsson3 2 3 19+1
2Ricky Kling0 2 1 14+3
3Fredrik Lindgren2 3 2 2 211+3
4Jurica Pavlic3 1 3 3 313
5Rune Holta1 1 2 26+1
6Artur Mroczka3 3 3 0 312
7Anders Mellgren0 0 11

VAR

1Adrian Miedziński2 2 1 3 3 R11
2Kim Nilsson1 0 01+1
3Nicki PedersenFX 3 2 1 3 110+1
4Lee Richardson1 1 R 1 03+1
5Krzysztof Kasprzak2 R 2 04
6Viktor Bergström1 0 23+1
7Eric Andersson2 FX 02

Heat by heat

Heat 157.50 s3:3

Heat 257.60 s3:3

Heat 357.20 s5:1

Heat 457.80 s4:2

Heat 557.70 s5:1

Heat 657.40 s4:2

Heat 758.50 s3:3

Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
Andreas Jonsson · DAC2
Ricky Kling · DAC1*
Lee Richardson · VARR

Heat 857.90 s5:1

Heat 957.60 s1:5

Heat 1057.90 s3:3

Heat 1158.50 s4:2

Heat 1258.20 s5:1

Jurica Pavlic · DAC3
Rune Holta · DAC2*
Nicki Pedersen · VAR1
Kim Nilsson · VAR0

Heat 1358.30 s3:3

Heat 1459.00 s3:3

Heat 1558.60 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 11–24 °C; Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Wind: 12 km/h SE; gusts up to 31 km/h; Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 50 %; Measured · Hultsfred Swedish Air Force Base, 16 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	12	6	+6	−6
8–10	9	9	0	0
11–13	12	6	+6	−6
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	DAC	VAR	DAC	VAR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead DAC

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	0	64 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+10	96 %
6	+12	99 %
7	+12	99 %
8	+16	100 %
9	+12	99 %
10	+12	100 %
11	+14	100 %
12	+18	100 %
13	+18	100 %
14	+18	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Jurica Pavlic	5	6.4	13	+6.6
Artur Mroczka	5	6.7	12	+5.3
Fredrik Lindgren	5	7.7	11	+3.3
Ricky Kling	4	2.7	4	+1.3
Andreas Jonsson	4	8.0	9	+1.0
Adrian Miedziński	6	10.4	11	+0.6
Viktor Bergström	3	4.2	3	-1.2
Rune Holta	4	7.3	6	-1.3
Nicki Pedersen	6	11.7	10	-1.7
Kim Nilsson	3	2.8	1	-1.8
Eric Andersson	3	3.9	2	-1.9
Anders Mellgren	3	3.4	1	-2.4
Krzysztof Kasprzak	4	7.2	4	-3.2
Lee Richardson	5	7.5	3	-4.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.0057.20 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 32.3:27.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +0.17

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source