Valsarna vs Dackarna Målilla
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, August 9, 2011 · Emtbjörks AB Arena, Hagfors
Results
- 1Grigorij Laguta1 2 3 3 3 315+1
- 2Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 1 1 17+1
- 3Tomasz Gapiński1 2 1 1 38+1
- 4David Watt0 00
- 5Daniel Nermark3 2 2 1 210+2
- 6Ludvig Lindgren0 F 11+1
- 7Scott Nicholls2 0 24
- 1Rune Holta0 1 3 0 26
- 3Andreas Jonsson2 3 2 3 2 R12+2
- 4Artur Mroczka3 3 1 0 07
- 5Hans Andersen2 3 2 1 0 19
- 6Daniel King1 3 0 37
- 7Anders Mellgren3 1 04+1
Heat by heat
- Artur Mroczka · DAC3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL2
- Grigorij Laguta · VAL1*
- Rune Holta · DAC0
- Anders Mellgren · DAC3
- Scott Nicholls · VAL2
- Daniel King · DAC1
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAL0
- Artur Mroczka · DAC3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAL1
- David Watt · VAL0
- Daniel Nermark · VAL3
- Hans Andersen · DAC2
- Anders Mellgren · DAC1*
- Ludvig Lindgren · VALF
- Daniel King · DAC3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL2
- Artur Mroczka · DAC1
- Scott Nicholls · VAL0
- Hans Andersen · DAC3
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAL2
- Rune Holta · DAC1
- David Watt · VAL0
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Grigorij Laguta · VAL2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL1*
- Artur Mroczka · DAC0
- Grigorij Laguta · VAL3
- Hans Andersen · DAC2
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAL1
- Anders Mellgren · DAC0
- Rune Holta · DAC3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL1
- Grigorij Laguta · VAL3
- Daniel Nermark · VAL2*
- Hans Andersen · DAC1
- Daniel King · DAC0
- Daniel King · DAC3
- Scott Nicholls · VAL2
- Ludvig Lindgren · VAL1*
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
- Daniel Nermark · VAL2
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAL1*
- Rune Holta · DAC0
- Tomasz Gapiński · VAL3
- Rune Holta · DAC2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · VAL1
- Artur Mroczka · DAC0
- Grigorij Laguta · VAL3
- Andreas Jonsson · DAC2
- Daniel Nermark · VAL1
- Hans Andersen · DAC0
- Grigorij Laguta · VAL3
- Daniel Nermark · VAL2*
- Hans Andersen · DAC1
- Andreas Jonsson · DACR
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 13–19 °C
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain during the day
- 3.8 mm
- Rain likely: a second model agrees
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.2 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 71 %
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| VAL | DAC | VAL | DAC | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead VAL
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | 0 | 56 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grigorij Laguta | 6 | 12.2 | 15 | +2.8 |
| Artur Mroczka | 5 | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Daniel Nermark | 5 | 8.3 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Anders Mellgren | 3 | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Daniel King | 4 | 5.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Hans Andersen | 6 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.6 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.4 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Andreas Jonsson | 6 | 13.5 | 12 | -1.5 |
| Rune Holta | 5 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Scott Nicholls | 3 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| David Watt | 2 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Ludvig Lindgren | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.