Valsarna vs Vargarna Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 26, 2011 · Emtbjörks AB Arena, Hagfors

Results

VAL 55 : 35 VAR

VAL

1Grigorij Laguta3 R 3 39
2Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 3 17+1
3Tomasz Gapiński3 3 2 3 011
4David Watt2 1 1 26+3
5Daniel Nermark2 2 3 2 312+1
6Victor Palovaara1 0 01
7Ludvig Lindgren3 3 0 0 39

VAR

1Lee Richardson2 2 3 1 2 212+1
2Michael Jepsen Jensen0 0 00
3Adrian Miedziński0 2 1 03
4Kim Nilsson1 1 1 03+1
5Krzysztof Kasprzak3 3 1 2 1 111+1
6Eric Andersson2 1 0 14+1
7André Hertzberg0 0 22

Heat by heat

Heat 156.00 s4:2

Heat 257.80 s4:2

Heat 356.40 s5:1

Heat 456.40 s2:4

Heat 556.70 s5:1

Heat 657.00 s4:2

Heat 73:3

Heat 856.60 s3:3

Heat 92:4

Heat 1057.40 s3:3

Heat 1158.20 s3:3

Heat 1257.80 s5:1

Heat 134:2

Heat 1458.30 s5:1

Heat 1557.90 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 14–21 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 7 km/h SW; gusts up to 24 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the day: 0.5 mm; Possible showers: a second model has the day dry; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 68 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	12	6	+6	−6
8–10	8	10	−2	+2
11–13	12	6	+6	−6
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	VAL	VAR	VAL	VAR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VAL

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	+2	79 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+8	94 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+10	96 %
6	+12	99 %
7	+12	99 %
8	+12	98 %
9	+10	97 %
10	+10	96 %
11	+10	97 %
12	+14	100 %
13	+16	100 %
14	+20	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Ludvig Lindgren	5	4.4	9	+4.6
Tomasz Gapiński	5	7.1	11	+3.9
Daniel Nermark	5	8.2	12	+3.8
Lee Richardson	6	10.4	12	+1.6
Krzysztof Buczkowski	4	5.7	7	+1.3
David Watt	4	5.4	6	+0.6
Grigorij Laguta	4	9.1	9	-0.1
Krzysztof Kasprzak	6	11.1	11	-0.1
Eric Andersson	4	5.3	4	-1.3
André Hertzberg	3	3.9	2	-1.9
Kim Nilsson	4	4.9	3	-1.9
Adrian Miedziński	4	6.3	3	-3.3
Victor Palovaara	3	4.5	1	-3.5
Michael Jepsen Jensen	3	3.8	0	-3.8

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 58.3056.00 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 26.3:35.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −1.70 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source