Vargarna Speedway vs Dackarna Målilla

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 19, 2011 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping

Results

VAR 41 : 49 DAC

VAR

1Adrian Miedziński1 1 0 F2
2Kim Nilsson0 0 22
3Nicki Pedersen2 2 2 1 310+2
4Tai Woffinden1 0 3 2 06+2
5Krzysztof Kasprzak3 0 3 2 1 211+1
6Eric Andersson0 1 12
7Michael Jepsen Jensen2 2 1 38

DAC

1Andreas Jonsson3 1 0 37
2Hans Andersen2 3 1 3 110+1
3Fredrik Lindgren3 2 1 2 08+2
4Artur Mroczka0 3 3 06
5Rune Holta2 0 3 38
6Daniel King3 1 1 2 29+1
7Joel Larsson1 0 01

Heat by heat

Heat 158.00 s1:5

Heat 259.70 s2:4

Heat 358.70 s3:3

Heat 458.50 s4:2

Heat 558.60 s2:4

Heat 659.30 s2:4

Heat 759.20 s1:5

Heat 859.20 s5:1

Tai Woffinden · VAR3
Nicki Pedersen · VAR2*
Daniel King · DAC1
Rune Holta · DAC0

Heat 959.70 s5:1

Heat 1060.00 s1:5

Heat 1160.60 s4:2

Heat 1260.40 s2:4

Heat 1360.00 s3:3

Andreas Jonsson · DAC3
Kim Nilsson · VAR2
Nicki Pedersen · VAR1*
Artur Mroczka · DAC0

Heat 1459.30 s1:5

Heat 1559.70 s5:1

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 15–23 °C; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Wind: 12 km/h SE; gusts up to 38 km/h; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Rain during the day: 2.9 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 8.3 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 66 %; Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	10	14	−4	+4
5–7	5	13	−8	+8
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	6	6	0	0
	VAR	DAC	VAR	DAC

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VAR

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-4	45 %
2	-6	27 %
3	-6	32 %
4	-4	38 %
5	-6	22 %
6	-8	18 %
7	-12	4 %
8	-8	12 %
9	-4	28 %
10	-8	5 %
11	-6	12 %
12	-8	7 %
13	-8	2 %
14	-12	0 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Hans Andersen	5	4.4	10	+5.6
Daniel King	5	5.8	9	+3.2
Artur Mroczka	4	3.5	6	+2.5
Krzysztof Kasprzak	6	9.7	11	+1.3
Michael Jepsen Jensen	4	6.9	8	+1.1
Rune Holta	4	6.9	8	+1.1
Tai Woffinden	5	6.1	6	-0.1
Nicki Pedersen	5	10.6	10	-0.6
Kim Nilsson	3	3.3	2	-1.3
Fredrik Lindgren	5	9.5	8	-1.5
Eric Andersson	3	3.6	2	-1.6
Andreas Jonsson	4	9.5	7	-2.5
Joel Larsson	3	3.7	1	-2.7
Adrian Miedziński	4	6.6	2	-4.6

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.6058.00 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 37.7:19.0 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +0.40

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source