Västervik Speedway vs Vargarna Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, July 5, 2011 · Hejla Arena, Västervik

Results

VAS 49 : 41 VAR

VAS

1Sebastian Ułamek0 0 3 36
2Tomasz Jędrzejak2 3 2 29
3Chris Harris3 2 2 0 29+1
4Nicolai Klindt2 0 3 16+2
5Peter Ljung2 3 2 2 09+1
6Pontus Aspgren1 1 1 0 1 37+2
7Rafał Okoniewski2 13

VAR

1Nicki Pedersen1 3 2 3 1 111
2Lee Richardson3 1 1 R 38+1
3Adrian Miedziński1 1 3 05
4Michał Szczepaniak0 2 3 16
5Krzysztof Kasprzak3 1 R4
6Viktor BergströmFX0
7Kim Nilsson3 0 0 0 2 27

Heat by heat

Heat 157.20 s2:4

Heat 256.50 s3:3

Heat 356.40 s5:1

Heat 457.30 s3:3

Krzysztof Kasprzak · VAR3
Peter Ljung · VAS2
Pontus Aspgren · VAS1*
Kim Nilsson · VAR0

Heat 556.70 s4:2

Heat 657.30 s2:4

Heat 756.70 s2:4

Heat 857.00 s5:1

Heat 956.90 s3:3

Peter Ljung · VAS3
Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
Lee Richardson · VAR1*
Pontus Aspgren · VAS0

Heat 1057.00 s4:2

Heat 1156.60 s

Heat 1256.70 s3:3

Heat 1357.60 s2:4

Heat 1457.00 s5:1

Heat 1557.00 s2:4

Lee Richardson · VAR3
Chris Harris · VAS2
Nicki Pedersen · VAR1
Peter Ljung · VAS0

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Partly cloudy → Clear; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 14–24 °C; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Wind: 7 km/h NE; gusts up to 26 km/h; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain during the day: 0 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.4 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 69 %; Regional estimate (Meteostat)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	13	11	+2	−2
5–7	8	10	−2	+2
8–10	12	6	+6	−6
11–13	9	9	0	0
14–15	7	5	+2	−2
	VAS	VAR	VAS	VAR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VAS

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	-2	53 %
2	-2	54 %
3	+2	77 %
4	+2	73 %
5	+4	83 %
6	+2	74 %
7	0	60 %
8	+4	83 %
9	+4	88 %
10	+6	92 %
12	+6	92 %
13	+4	91 %
14	+8	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Tomasz Jędrzejak	4	5.7	9	+3.3
Peter Ljung	5	5.8	9	+3.2
Michał Szczepaniak	4	4.0	6	+2.0
Nicolai Klindt	4	4.2	6	+1.8
Chris Harris	5	7.4	9	+1.6
Pontus Aspgren	6	5.5	7	+1.5
Lee Richardson	5	7.8	8	+0.2
Sebastian Ułamek	4	6.6	6	-0.6
Viktor Bergström	1	1.3	0	-1.3
Rafał Okoniewski	2	4.5	3	-1.5
Kim Nilsson	6	9.3	7	-2.3
Krzysztof Kasprzak	3	6.3	4	-2.3
Adrian Miedziński	4	7.6	5	-2.6
Nicki Pedersen	6	13.9	11	-2.9

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 57.6056.40 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 41.3:26.7 outside 3 + 4

Trend ▶ −0.73 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source