Kumla Indianerna vs Vargarna Speedway
Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 21, 2011 · Kumla Motorstadion, Kumla
Results
- 1Antonio Lindbäck0 0 00
- 2Bjarne Pedersen1 2 2 27
- 3Piotr Protasiewicz3 0 3 1 310+1
- 4Niels Kristian Iversen1 1 2 26+1
- 5Ryan Sullivan3 3 1 0 07+1
- 6Simon Gustafsson1 0 34
- 7Joonas Kylmakorpi3 1 1 3 2 313+2
- 1Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 3 213
- 2Lee Richardson2 2 0 04+2
- 3Adrian Miedziński2 3 3 1 110+2
- 4Tai Woffinden0 3 1 04
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak1 1 2 26+1
- 6André Hertzberg0 0 R0
- 7Kim Nilsson2 2 0 1 16+1
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Lee Richardson · VAR2*
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND1
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND0
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2
- Simon Gustafsson · IND1
- André Hertzberg · VAR0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND3
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1
- Tai Woffinden · VAR0
- Ryan Sullivan · IND3
- Kim Nilsson · VAR2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · VAR1*
- Simon Gustafsson · IND0
- Tai Woffinden · VAR3
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND2
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND1*
- André Hertzberg · VAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Lee Richardson · VAR2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND1
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND0
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND2
- Tai Woffinden · VAR1
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · VAR1
- Kim Nilsson · VAR0
- Ryan Sullivan · IND3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND1
- Lee Richardson · VAR0
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · VAR2
- Kim Nilsson · VAR1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · IND0
- Simon Gustafsson · IND3
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND2*
- Kim Nilsson · VAR1
- André Hertzberg · VARR
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · IND2
- Ryan Sullivan · IND1*
- Lee Richardson · VAR0
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR3
- Bjarne Pedersen · IND2
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND1*
- Tai Woffinden · VAR0
- Joonas Kylmakorpi · IND3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · VAR2
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR1*
- Ryan Sullivan · IND0
- Piotr Protasiewicz · IND3
- Nicki Pedersen · VAR2
- Adrian Miedziński · VAR1*
- Ryan Sullivan · IND0
Conditions
Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Temperature
- 14–19 °C
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Wind
- 23 km/h SW
- gusts up to 46 km/h
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
- Rain during the day
- 3.5 mm
- Possible showers: a second model has the day dry
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 4.1 mm
- Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
- Humidity
- 68 %
- Measured · Orebro / Tredingskullen, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| IND | VAR | IND | VAR | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead IND
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -2 | 48 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +4 | 86 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Kylmakorpi | 6 | 8.8 | 13 | +4.2 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 9.4 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Adrian Miedziński | 5 | 6.9 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Simon Gustafsson | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Piotr Protasiewicz | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Bjarne Pedersen | 4 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Lee Richardson | 4 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 6.7 | 6 | -0.7 |
| Tai Woffinden | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| André Hertzberg | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Ryan Sullivan | 5 | 10.6 | 7 | -3.6 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 3 | 4.5 | 0 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.