Valsarna vs Piraterna Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, June 14, 2011 · Emtbjörks AB Arena, Hagfors

Results

VAL 45 : 45 PIR

VAL

1Grigorij Laguta2 1 3 3 110+1
3Krzysztof Buczkowski1 2 0 25
4David Watt0 3 2 0 16+1
5Daniel Nermark3 3 3 2 2 215+1
6Victor Palovaara0 0 00
7Tomasz Gapiński3 2 1 2 19+3

PIR

1Przemysław Pawlicki2 1 1 1 05+3
3Greg Hancock3 3 0 3 0 312
4Maciej Janowski1 3 2 2 3 011
5Jonas Davidsson1 2 3 0 17
6Jesper B. Monberg1 1 1 36+1
7Linus Sundstroem2 F 0 24+1

Heat by heat

Heat 1

Heat 23:3

Heat 356.00 s2:4

Heat 45:1

Heat 555.90 s

Heat 656.30 s3:3

Heat 756.70 s4:2

Heat 83:3

Heat 93:3

Heat 1057.30 s5:1

Heat 1157.60 s1:5

Heat 1258.20 s2:4

Heat 1358.30 s3:3

Heat 1459.00 s5:1

Heat 1558.70 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky: Showers → Partly cloudy; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature: 12–16 °C; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Wind: 11 km/h S; gusts up to 33 km/h; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain during the day: 2.7 mm; Rain likely: a second model agrees; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 0.8 mm; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity: 77 %; Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	11	13	−2	+2
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	6	12	−6	+6
14–15	8	4	+4	−4
	VAL	PIR	VAL	PIR

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead VAL

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
2	0	64 %
3	-2	47 %
4	+2	73 %
6	+2	74 %
7	+4	82 %
8	+4	83 %
9	+4	88 %
10	+8	95 %
11	+4	88 %
12	+2	73 %
13	+2	74 %
14	+6	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Daniel Nermark	6	9.5	15	+5.5
Maciej Janowski	6	9.2	11	+1.8
Tomasz Gapiński	5	7.6	9	+1.4
Jesper B. Monberg	4	4.8	6	+1.2
Grigorij Laguta	5	9.8	10	+0.2
David Watt	5	6.0	6	-0.0
Jonas Davidsson	5	7.1	7	-0.1
Krzysztof Buczkowski	4	5.5	5	-0.5
Linus Sundstroem	4	5.2	4	-1.2
Greg Hancock	6	13.4	12	-1.4
Przemysław Pawlicki	5	7.8	5	-2.8
Victor Palovaara	3	4.1	0	-4.1

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 59.0055.90 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 32.3:35.0 outside 3 + 4

Trend ◀ +1.17 towards the inside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source