Vargarna Speedway vs Västervik Speedway

Elit Speedway / BAUHAUS-ligan · Tuesday, May 3, 2011 · Boardic Arena, Norrköping

Results

VAR 39 : 51 VAS
VAR
VAS

Heat by heat

Heat 158.60 s3:3
Heat 259.70 s1:5
Heat 358.80 s3:3
Heat 458.80 s4:2
Heat 558.20 s3:3
Heat 658.40 s3:3
Heat 758.40 s2:4
Heat 858.60 s3:3
Heat 958.80 s2:4
Heat 1058.40 s4:2
Heat 1160.00 s1:5
Heat 1259.00 s2:4
Heat 1358.90 s1:5
Heat 1458.90 s4:2
Heat 1559.20 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track during the day (10:00–22:00 local time): no start time is known.

Sky
Showers → Cloudy
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Temperature
2–6 °C
Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Wind
12 km/h N
gusts up to 36 km/h
Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away
Rain during the day
5.5 mm
Rain likely: a second model agrees
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Rain in the 24 hours before
3.4 mm
Regional estimate (ERA5 reanalysis)
Humidity
87 %
Measured · Norrkoping Airport, 6 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–41113−2+2
5–7810−2+2
8–109900
11–13414−10+10
14–1575+2−2
VARVASVARVAS

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead VAR
-14-12-10-8-6-4-20115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1066 %
2-437 %
3-434 %
4-246 %
5-247 %
6-248 %
7-432 %
8-435 %
9-620 %
10-422 %
11-88 %
12-101 %
13-140 %
14-120 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Adam Shields55.111+5.9
Nicolai Klindt43.68+4.4
Chris Harris58.812+3.2
Tomasz Jędrzejak46.09+3.0
Krzysztof Kasprzak58.711+2.3
Adam Skornicki44.25+0.8
Peter Ljung43.84+0.2
Lee Richardson45.95-0.9
Pontus Aspgren45.44-1.4
Viktor Bergström34.52-2.5
Adrian Miedziński48.05-3.0
André Hertzberg45.12-3.1
Sebastian Ułamek47.33-4.3
Nicki Pedersen613.59-4.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 60.0058.20 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 34.3:22.3 outside 3 + 4
Trend ▶ −2.27 towards the outside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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